AI, or artificial intelligence, has been a hot topic in the tech world for years. It has been predicted that AI will revolutionize the way we live and work, and many experts believe that AI will be a major part of our lives in the near future. But just how soon will AI become a reality?
In the 2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI, conducted with 738 experts who published at the 2021 NIPS and ICML conferences, AI experts estimated that there’s a 50% chance that high-level machine intelligence will occur until 2059. This means that it is possible that we could see AI in our lifetime, but it is far from certain.
The survey also found that AI experts believe that it is more likely that AI will be used to automate mundane tasks and increase efficiency in the near future, rather than for more complex tasks. For example, AI could be used to automate tasks such as customer service, data analysis, and financial services.
However, the survey also revealed that experts are divided on the issue of whether AI will be used for more complex tasks such as medical diagnosis, legal decision-making, and autonomous driving. Some experts believe that these tasks are too complex for AI to handle, while others believe that AI will eventually be able to handle them.
The survey also found that experts believe that AI will be used in a variety of ways in the future, such as for education, healthcare, and entertainment. AI could be used to help teach students, diagnose medical conditions, and create interactive entertainment experiences.
Overall, the survey results suggest that AI could become a reality in our lifetime, but it is far from certain. While AI could be used to automate mundane tasks and increase efficiency in the near future, it is unclear whether AI will be able to handle more complex tasks. It is also unclear how AI will be used in the future, but experts believe that it could be used in a variety of ways.