Chancellor Rachel Reeves is shaking things up in the UK’s financial system. She plans to change the government’s rules on borrowing, allowing more money to be borrowed to invest in the country’s future. This decision is expected to unlock up to £50 billion in new investments, focusing on improving schools, hospitals, and modern industries like clean energy and technology.
Why Change the Rules?
Rachel Reeves, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, spoke to Sky News from Washington DC about her plan. The government currently has a rule that says borrowing must go down by the fifth year of financial forecasts. Reeves wants to change this rule, making it easier to borrow money for public investment.
Right now, the rule measures “public sector net debt” (PSND), but Reeves is thinking of switching to something called “public sector net debt net of financial liabilities” (PSNFL). This means that some investments, like student loans, would count as assets, not debts. This change could allow the government to borrow an extra £53 billion. However, Reeves didn’t confirm if PSNFL would be the new measurement, leaving the public curious about what the final rule will be.
Focus on Investment, Not Day-to-Day Spending
Reeves also explained that while the borrowing rule is changing, another important rule remains the same: the government’s daily spending must still be covered by the taxes it collects. This rule ensures that money for things like healthcare, education, and welfare is not borrowed but comes from taxes.
Why Borrow More?
The reason for these changes is clear: the UK needs more investment. Many experts agree that the country has not been spending enough on important areas like infrastructure and technology. This week, even the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that public investment is “badly needed” in the UK.
Reeves pointed out that under the previous Conservative government, investment was set to fall, especially in crucial sectors like life sciences, carbon capture, and clean energy. She wants to change that and make sure the country has the funds to fix old buildings, like schools and hospitals, while also helping the UK lead in new industries like artificial intelligence (AI) and green technology.
No Tax Hikes… Yet
One big question on everyone’s mind is whether taxes will go up. Reeves has promised in her election campaign not to raise income tax, value-added tax (VAT), or national insurance. However, she didn’t completely rule out some tax increases in the future.
One option on the table is adding national insurance to employers’ pension contributions, although public sector employers might be exempt from this change. Reeves emphasized that tough decisions would have to be made about spending, welfare, and taxes. But she reassured the public that she would be clear and honest about these challenges and how to solve them.
Balancing Act: Borrowing and Responsibility
Reeves wants to make sure that while the government is borrowing more, it’s doing so responsibly. She stressed the importance of value for money, making sure that every pound of taxpayers’ money is spent wisely. To help with this, she plans to involve both the National Audit Office and the Office for Budget Responsibility in overseeing how the money is used.
Despite these reassurances, some critics, like shadow exchequer secretary Gareth Davies, aren’t convinced. He pointed out that before the election, Reeves promised not to “fiddle” with the fiscal rules, yet she now seems to be doing just that. Davies also raised concerns about the real-world impact of this move. He warned that the uncertainty over borrowing could lead to higher interest rates, which could hurt families across the country.
What Happens Next?
The first big test for Reeves’ new fiscal rules will be how the bond markets react. So far, the markets haven’t panicked, but any major changes to how the government borrows money could make investors nervous.
Reeves hopes that by borrowing more for investment, the UK can reverse years of underfunding and start growing again. She believes the country is at a turning point and that now is the time to seize opportunities in industries like clean energy, AI, and life sciences.
The chancellor is set to reveal all the details in next week’s budget. It’s expected to include a mix of tax increases and spending cuts, balanced by the increased freedom to borrow. Reeves will also explain how the government plans to meet its promise of funding day-to-day spending through tax receipts alone, a goal that previous governments haven’t been able to achieve.
A New Path for the UK
Chancellor Reeves’ decision to change the borrowing rules could mark a new chapter for the UK. By allowing more investment in important areas like infrastructure and technology, the government hopes to drive economic growth. However, the move also comes with risks. If borrowing costs rise, it could mean higher interest rates and more financial strain on families.
The upcoming budget will be a critical moment for the UK’s economy. Reeves has promised to be open and transparent about the challenges the country faces, as well as how she plans to solve them. Only time will tell if this bold new approach will pay off for the UK.
For now, all eyes are on the chancellor and the decisions she will make in the coming days.