Why the Big Tech Giants Are Facing AI Doubts

The stock prices of the top seven technology companies, that includes Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Nvidia, Alphabet, Meta and Tesla, are down. That is in part because investors have started to doubt whether their massive bets on artificial intelligence will pay off. More AI breakthroughs might give them a boost.

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Stock prices of the top seven tech giants, including Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Nvidia, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla, are down. It was part of the reason that investors had begun doubting whether their massive bets on artificial intelligence would pay off. More AI breakthroughs might give them a boost.

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But it's not just the biggest technology names that are struggling. It could thus not be so much of an exaggeration to argue that the fade of the seven giant tech companies—Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Nvidia, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla—by 11.8 percent from their peak last month is raising further questions over the future of artificial intelligence and if the companies' big bets on it will pay off.

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Why Are the Big Tech Companies Having a Rough Year?

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The billion-dollar question is quite literal: Do many people think all of this spending on AI will net big rewards for these tech giants? A recent report from Goldman Sachs asked if spending a huge amount—$1 trillion—on AI in the next few years will be worth it. They wondered if this investment would ever bring back enough money to justify the spending. Another report suggested these companies need to make $600 bln to cover their AI costs.

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Other factors are also working on these tech giants. Some investors are now looking at other areas of the economy, notably smaller businesses, banks, and real estate, partly because they believe that the U.S. Federal Reserve may cut interest rates soon. This would make it cheaper to borrow money, which would fuel growth in those other sectors. This shift in focus away from big technology companies is affecting the stock price for the top seven firms.

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The slide of their stock prices by these seven tech companies has a more significant impact on the S&P 500 index. This index is impressively influenced by the technology giants mentioned above; hence, in case one of them drops in terms of stock price, it affects the whole index.

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On top of that, there are concerns about the strength of the US economy, and those have contributed to a worldwide slump in stock markets. The shares of these tech giants slid in and out recently of what's called "correction territory," meaning their prices have fallen by more than 10 percent from their recent highs.

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Recent Company Performances

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This week, the financial results from these companies were mixed. Consider that Microsoft's cloud computing service helping businesses use AI reported a climb lower than expected. At the same time, Amazon, another major player in cloud computing, turned out not quite as expected. High spending on AI-related infrastructure, like data centers and chips, affected growth.

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On the other hand, Meta's stock went up after the company revealed its Facebook and Instagram platforms made more money than forecasted. Apple also had a good week after its sales came in better than expected.

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As analyst Dan Coatsworth said, people might have set expectations rather too high from these tech companies, and because they are failing to fulfill such expectations, investors get disappointed and sell off shares.

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Are AI Investments Worth It?

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Many experts feel that the AI explosion may be overhyped. Elliott Management, a hedge fund, told its investors this month that AI might not be as good as it's cracked up to be. The firm even went so far as to say that Nvidia—a company enjoying a lot of success due to riding the wave of interest in AI—could be in what's known as a "bubble." That basically means its stock price might be very high compared to what it is truly worth.

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What's Next for AI?

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Against all doubts, breakthroughs are still expected. Big companies in the field work on new, exciting AI projects. For example, a month ago, Google DeepMind attained a new record in solving mathematical problems, which shows promise for the solution of complex problems in the future.

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The challenge for these companies is how rich in profit these new AI developments will be, considering that the costs incurred in developing them are extremely high. Training advanced AI models has become quite expensive; therefore, it's hard even for a well-funded company like OpenAI—which is backed by Microsoft—to manage the costs in the long run.

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Success in the Real-World with AI

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The most effective uses of AI in business right now have been driven by ordinary people experimenting with ways to use AI tools such as Microsoft's Copilot or Anthropic's Claude to make their jobs easier, faster, or both. For example, Klarna, which allows customers to buy now and pay later, said its AI-powered assistant was handling about two-thirds of customer service inquiries within its first month.

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But it hasn't translated into significant financial returns at the corporate level. According to one analyst, Dario Maisto, one of the largest challenges companies face is finding clear, profitable uses for AI.

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In sum, the tech titans have been sliding, as reflected in their stock prices, as the real worth of the great AI investments is put into question. While more breakthroughs in AI could help, there are still major obstacles to making these technologies financially worthwhile. Thereby, investors and companies are going through a very uncertain future regarding AI and its effect on these tech giants.

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