Market Reactions: The Pound's Response to Labour's Landslide Victory

The pound has remained stable against the US dollar following the revelation that the Labour Party is poised for a landslide victory.

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The exit poll confirmed traders' expectations of a forthcoming period of political stability.

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Sterling held steady against the US dollar, maintaining around 1.276, and against the euro at 1.18, after polling stations closed at 10pm.

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A significant Labour majority had been widely anticipated and priced into financial markets, resulting in a muted reaction for the pound.

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Currency movements typically reflect the immediate response from financial markets to events that could influence the political and economic landscape.

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Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at trading platform IG, stated: “The exit poll has caused little volatility in foreign exchange markets, as the predicted Labour landslide is confirmed.

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“The stability that would come from such a win means investors can temporarily set aside concerns about UK political risk.”

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Economists at Investec Economics noted that a substantial Labour majority had been “well anticipated” by numerous opinion polls since the election was called, leading to the pound showing “virtually no reaction”.

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“What will be more significant to markets is the Labour government's actions once in office,” Investec added.

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Labour is set to have a prime minister in No 10 for the first time since 2010.

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Rob Wood, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, commented: “If the final results align with the exit poll, Keir Starmer would have a sufficient majority to implement a stable policy agenda, potentially boosting business investment and attracting more foreign investment.”

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However, he warned that increased government spending and borrowing could delay Bank of England policymakers in reducing UK interest rates.

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Meanwhile, experts indicated that traders are likely to shift their focus to the second round of the French elections, which have had a more significant impact on European financial markets in recent weeks.

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France will hold its general election on Sunday, following a surprising first round where the far-right National Rally received the most votes.

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“The recent rebound in the euro and stock markets suggests that investors are confident the National Rally will be kept out of power,” said Fawad Razaqzada, a market analyst at Forex.com.

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