Eurozone Preliminary HICP Inflation Decreases to 2.5% Year-on-Year in June, in Line with Forecasts

The Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) increased by 2.5% year-on-year in June, slightly slower than the 2.6% growth reported in May, according to data released by Eurostat on Tuesday. Market expectations had anticipated a 2.5% rise for the same period.

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Core HICP, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also grew by 2.9% year-on-year in June, maintaining the same pace as in May and surpassing the forecasted 2.8%.

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Month-on-month, the Eurozone's HICP edged up by 0.2% in June, matching the increase seen in May. Core HICP inflation for the same period was 0.3% month-on-month, down from 0.4% in the previous month.

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The European Central Bank (ECB) targets an inflation rate of 2.0%. Data on Eurozone HICP inflation significantly influence market expectations regarding the ECB's monetary policy decisions, including potential interest rate adjustments.

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In June, services are anticipated to show the highest annual inflation rate in the euro area at 4.1%, unchanged from May. This is followed by food, alcohol, and tobacco with a rate of 2.5%, slightly down from 2.6% in May. Non-energy industrial goods are expected to maintain stability with a 0.7% increase, consistent with May's figures. Energy prices, however, are projected to see a slight decrease to 0.2% from 0.3% in May.

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