The eight-year process of Amazon moving into and out of the digital disruptor and becoming an omnichannel a heavyweight retailer has entered a new phase that is decisive as the company intensifies its physical grocery store penetration and enhances its competition with Walmart. After being hailed as the redemption of shopping with no stores, Amazon is now making an estimated bet on massive-format retail locations, a step that indicates adjustment and strain in an already intensely competitive consumer environment.
Over the years, Amazon has succeeded on maintaining a lead on traditional retailers by being more convenient, having scale, and operating in an efficient manner guided by data. Walmart, which had long been the physical retail giant, had to be a follower in the online world. The dynamics of that have gradually changed. Amazon is currently borrowing the same playbook it has shaken, increasing its physical footprint to ensure expansion in areas that are still adamantly traditional about physical shopping, in particular, groceries and day-to-day necessities.
The analysts project the physical store income of Amazon, comprising of Whole Food, Amazon Fresh and Amazon Go, to grow by 5.4 percent per year to approximately, 5.9 billion dollars in the fourth quarter. Although this amount is only a part of the total revenue generated by Amazon, it shows the renewed significance of stores in a company that is becoming more cloud computing and artificial intelligence-friendly. Amazon Web Services currently contributes approximately 18 percent of the aggregate revenue, but retail, specifically the grocery, is still at the core of customer loyalty and repeat purchases.
Amazon has reached out to make it clear that its previous physical retail strategy did not provide the scale or differentiation it envisioned in the last few months. The company shuttered its standalone Amazon Fresh and Amazon Go locations and started turning them into Whole Foods Market stores, and centralized its physical presence under a brand that already has a connection with grocery shoppers. This move silently accepted one little retail reality, which is that familiarity and trust can be important to the extent that technology, particularly when a consumer is making a choice about where to purchase food to feed their family.
The clearest indicator of the changing strategy of Amazon is that it intends to open a super-sized 225,000-square-foot store in the vicinity of Chicago, its first such store. The location will be based on the principles of competing with the large stores run by Walmart, Costco, and Target by selling fresh products, consumer goods, and general-merchandise, as well as serving as a distribution center where delivery is made on the same day. The concept combines the logistical potential of Amazon with the physical capabilities of standard retail, and it is much more practical in its vision than its prior cashierless tests.
This approach highlights the understanding of Amazon that shopping in a grocery is not only a matter of margins, but it is a habit. The customers who purchase food and daily essentials are most likely to be frequent shoppers, thus of great value in the long run. Amazon realizes that it must win in grocery since shoppers who are most likely to purchase grocery and fast-moving consumer goods products have the greatest customer lifetime value, according to Amazon seller consultant Martin Heubel. That observation is the reason why Amazon has been willing to spend a lot of money on a segment that has been difficult and expensive to scale in the past.
Nonetheless, the transition is not devoid of the level of skepticism. Amazon as a company has admitted that its earlier physical store ideas did not offer a unique enough experience to justify the speedy growth. Although the company refused to add details, industry observers believe that this reset was necessary and risky. S&P Global analyst Bea Chiem gave a more balanced view, as she believed to commit to brick-and-mortar would not likely be the long-term business strategy of Amazon. They will have to catch up in their time. Her perception is representative of a wider opinion that Amazon is more successful due to hybrid models as opposed to sheer physical control.
In the meantime, Walmart is not standing still. Walmart, which was once criticized as trailing behind Amazon online, has used the deep physical presence to drive its resurgence in the online space. In September 2020, the development of Walmart+ turned the tables, making the stores turned into fulfilment centres and loyalty hubs. The program has up to 26.5 million members as of 2025 (estimated by Morgan Stanley research) and Walmart e-commerce sales are on the rise, increasing by 28 percent in its last quarter against the prior year.
The strength that Walmart possesses is its size and closeness. The retailer has approximately 4,600 stores in the United States, which means that it can provide faster pickup and delivery services that compete with the speed of Amazon, but at a relatively reduced price in most cases. Such a high density provides Walmart with structural advantage in the grocery business where timing and freshness matter. The new mega-store idea that Amazon is currently undertaking seems to be aimed at bridging that divide, although it will require time and long-term investment to get Walmart-like prevalence in the country.
In a bigger industry understanding, the move by Amazon is characterized by a convergence and not a reversal. The future of retail cannot be called online or offline anymore; it exists in the zone of both. Consumers currently demand smooth experiences, be it order groceries on an app, collect them curbside, or window shopping. The problem that Amazon is facing is how to leverage their technological capabilities into physical spaces that are neither experimental nor hectic.
This change also has a cultural aspect. Shopping in groceries is a very individual event, influenced by habit, credibility and sensations. Whereas Amazon is striving at efficiency, it needs to develop familiarity and comfort in physical spaces, where the legacy retailers such as Walmart have decades of experience. The rebranding of Amazon Fresh and Go stores to Whole Foods outlets can indicate that Amazon is aware of this subtlety, and it intends to build on an already established brand that is already linked to quality and consistency.
Simultaneously, there are doubts concerning the extent to which Amazon ought to extend its reach into the physical realm of retailing. Physical stores are more expensive to operate, have lower margins and have complicated logistics. The capability of the company to rethink the systems and not necessarily copy them is what has always made the company stronger. The answer to whether the Chicago mega-store turns out to be a prototype of further growth or a small-scale experiment will tell how Amazon will strike the balance between the boldness and moderation.
Amazon physical grocery push is not an indication of its retreat on technology and innovation. Rather, it is a more rooted stage of development, one that acknowledges the persistence of the relevance of the stores but is looking to redefine the purpose of stores. In the case of Walmart, the revived competition justifies its own digital renewal and supports the necessity of combining scale and convenience.
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